Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the verge of a breakout, and traders should stay sharp. This week’s price action will be critical as BTC pushes against key resistance levels with bullish momentum across the monthly, weekly, and daily charts.
Here’s what to expect for today and the upcoming week in BTCUSD.
Today’s BTCUSD Forecast (May 21, 2025)
Ascending Triangle Breakout Setup
Today, Bitcoin is trading inside an ascending triangle on the daily chart. A failed breakout earlier this week shook out weak hands, but price action is coiling again near the breakout zone. Here’s what to watch:
- Breakout level: 107089
- Buy above: 107089 with confirmation
- Stop-loss: 200–300 points below entry
- Target 1: +1,000 points
- Target 2: 109,512
Many traders already played the first breakout attempt and got stopped. But historically, the second breakout after a fakeout has a much higher chance of succeeding.
Trade Plan for Today:
- Watch for clean candle close above 107089
- Confirm volume and breakout strength
- Use tight SL for controlled risk
- Avoid overtrading if stopped once
Weekly Bitcoin Price Prediction (May 21–26)
Bullish Momentum Building on Higher Timeframes
- Monthly chart: Strong bullish candle forming with a small lower wick — clear sign of demand.
- Weekly chart: BTCUSD consolidating at resistance (107,195) for three sessions. A clean break above could launch a new leg higher.
Expect volatility early in the week as BTC attempts to break above last week’s high. If bulls take control, a push toward 109,512 or higher is likely.
Weekly Key Levels:
- Support: 104,227
- Resistance: 107,195 (break = bullish continuation), then 109,512
- Break and hold above 107,200 = strong signal for continuation.
What Could Drive Bitcoin This Week?
- U.S. macro news – FOMC minutes or inflation data could add volatility.
- ETF or institutional news – Any bullish headline could fuel the breakout.
- Altcoin rotation – BTC strength could rise if altcoins pull back.
- Monthly close in 10 days – Expect positioning and volatility to increase.
Scalping Opportunity (5 EMA Strategy)
Scalpers can use the 5 EMA setup on the 15m or 1h chart to catch intraday moves.
Read out 5 EMA Setup
- Use the EMA trend to support breakout entries
- Combine with breakout levels for precision
Why This Breakout Setup Is High Probability
Here’s why this Bitcoin price prediction for today and this week leans bullish:
- Three-day consolidation at resistance (107,195)
- Monthly candle is bullish with minimal lower wick
- Daily chart shows ascending triangle
- Failed first breakout increases odds of real move
Risk Management Advice
- Don’t panic if the first breakout fails.
- Small stop = small loss.
- Plan to re-enter on confirmation.
- Never revenge trade — protect your capital.
“Plan the trade. Trade the plan.”
Internal Link Suggestion:
Check more BTCUSD technical analysis for daily updates.
Final Thoughts
This week could be decisive for Bitcoin. A successful breakout above 106,500–107,200 could trigger momentum toward 109,512 and beyond. With the monthly close approaching, expect volatility and opportunity.
Stay disciplined. Use clear levels. And trade the setup — not your emotions.
Recommended Broker:
Trade BTCUSD on Exness — a trader-friendly platform with fast execution and low spreads. Open your account here.