Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis July 2025 indicates a possible bearish reversal, driven by clear candlestick signals and breakdown of support zones. After months of bullish momentum, technical evidence now suggests a shift to the downside. In this post, we break down the monthly, weekly, and daily charts, mark important trading levels, and provide a strategy for the coming days.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis July 2025 – Monthly Chart Shows Doji + Spinning Top Reversal Signal
On the monthly chart, Gold (XAUUSD) has printed a Doji candle in July 2025, following a spinning top in June. Prior to that, there were five consecutive bullish monthly candles — signaling overbought momentum.
What this means:
- Doji shows market indecision
- Spinning top indicates reduced buying power
- Five bullish candles suggest trend exhaustion
Together, these three patterns often precede a major reversal, indicating that buyers may be losing control of the trend.
Weekly Chart: Strong Bearish Candle Signals Momentum Shift
Zooming into the weekly chart, Gold closed with a strong bearish candle, dropping over 130 points in just one week. This is a significant development that supports the bearish case.
- Candle broke below support and closed weak
- Volume increased during the fall
- Buyers were unable to defend the $3,300 resistance
This confirms that sellers are now active, and further downside is highly probable.
Daily Chart: 50 EMA Broken – Trend Reversal Confirmed
The daily timeframe adds more confirmation:
- Price has closed below the 50-day EMA
- Market structure shows lower highs and lower lows
- Upside momentum is fading fast
This breakdown below the 50 EMA is a strong sign of trend reversal.
Key Levels to Watch (July 2025)
| Price Level | Importance |
|---|---|
| $3,300 | Strong resistance zone |
| $3,250 | Key support (breakdown point) |
| $3,120 | First bearish target |
Trading Plan: How to Trade Gold in July
Bearish Setup (Primary Bias)
If Gold (XAUUSD) breaks below $3,250, the probability of a sharp fall increases. The move could go as deep as $3,120–$3,050, offering a solid positional trade.
Bearish Trade Strategy.:
- Switch to 15-minute or 1-hour chart
- Watch for a green candle low to be broken
- Once the low breaks, enter sell
- Target: $3,120, extended to $3,050
- Stop-loss: Just above the last swing high
Learn the setup in detail:
Bullish and Bearish Candle Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Caution Required)
If Gold closes above $3,300, we can consider a buy trade, but with half position size, as the overall trend remains bearish.
Bullish Trade Strategy:
- Confirm breakout with daily candle close above $3,300
- Use same candle pattern setup for entry
- Target: $3,360+
- Stop-loss: Just below $3,280
Warning: This is a counter-trend trade and should be treated with caution.
Pro Tip: Simple Setup for Intraday Entries
To refine entries: after Breaking Levels.
- Wait for a green candle on 15-min/1-hr chart
- If the low of that candle breaks, enter short
- If bullish above $3,300, use red candle high break for long entry
This improves accuracy and reduces noise in volatile markets.
Conclusion: Bearish Gold Outlook Dominates July 2025
Based on Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis July 2025, the market is showing clear bearish signs across monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. The Doji-spinning top combo, a strong bearish weekly close, and a break below the 50 EMA suggest that Gold could fall 150–200 points this month.
Key Takeaway: Focus on sell setups below $3,250, but keep an eye on $3,300 for any false breakout opportunities.
Analyze Gold (XAUUSD) live on TradingView charts to monitor real-time price action and confirm technical levels. View Live Chart
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