Nifty 50 Forecast July 2025 begins with a key market catalyst: the upcoming Nifty 50 index reshuffle set for September 2025. This event is expected to shake up index holdings and spark significant passive flows.
Let’s break down the reshuffle news and then dive into the weekly technical analysis for Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty from July 7 to July 12, 2025.
Nifty 50 Index Reshuffle – Major Update
Likely Additions:
- InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo)
- Max Healthcare
Likely Removals:
- Hero MotoCorp
- IndusInd Bank
Passive Inflows Projections:
- IndiGo may receive $515 million in passive inflows due to inclusion. The stock is already up 27% YTD and has delivered 254% returns in 3 years.
- Max Healthcare is estimated to attract $147 million with a potential for over $400 million in total buying. Its 3-year return stands at +262%.
Risk Scenario:
- The only way Max Healthcare may be excluded is if HAL outperforms it by 12% before July-end, which analysts believe is unlikely.
This reshuffle could lead to bullish price action in the aviation and healthcare sectors.
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis – July 7 to 12, 2025
Monthly & Weekly Candle Patterns:
- June 2025 monthly candle closed strong bullish—the 4th green monthly candle in a row.
- The index is approaching 26,000, a key resistance zone that caused a reversal in October 2024.
- Current weekly candle is small and indecisive—a pause candle, signaling a potential breakout or pullback.
Key Levels for Nifty 50:
| Direction | Trigger Level | Target | Stop-Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 25,700 | 26,000 | 25,480 |
| Sell | 25,320 | 24,900 | 25,480 |
- Previous week range: 25,687 – 25,323
- Daily chart shows a hammer candle, suggesting demand around 25,480.
- Analyst view for Monday (July 7): Buy above 25,480 with momentum.
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Bank Nifty Forecast July 2025 – Technical Analysis
Monthly View:
- The monthly candle is strongly bullish and currently near all-time highs.
Weekly View:
- A pause candle on the weekly chart shows indecision.
- A breakout above the resistance may trigger fresh momentum.
Bank Nifty Levels to Watch:
| Direction | Trigger Level | Target | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buy | 57,634 | 58,200+ | Momentum Breakout |
| Sell | 56,618 | 55,800 | 5 EMA Crossover Strategy |
If the index closes above 57,634 on strong volume, expect continuation to 58,200+.
Break below 56,618 may invite short-term correction.
Summary – Weekly Forecast at a Glance
| Index | Buy Above | Sell Below | Resistance | Support |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 25,700 | 25,320 | 26,000 | 24,900 |
| Bank Nifty | 57,634 | 56,618 | 58,200 | 55,800 |
Final Thoughts on Nifty 50 Forecast July 2025
The Nifty 50 Forecast for July 2025 shows that bulls are in control, but resistance at 26,000 may act as a turning point. The upcoming index reshuffle further adds momentum to aviation and healthcare stocks.
Bank Nifty remains strong, but a breakout is essential for further gains. Stick to your trading plan, manage risk, and trade the trend.
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